The authors showed that soil carbon loss is most responsive to change in soil water. Soil water plays a critical role in wet soils where water logging limits decomposition processes by soil biota resulting in a build-up of soil carbon as peat. Drying of the soil removes this limitation resulting in soil carbon loss. In contrast in drier soils, reduced rainfall reduces soil water below the optimum for soil biota resulting in a decrease in soil carbon loss. Most of the earth’s terrestrial carbon is stored in soil. The world’s soil carbon stocks are estimated to be circa 2000 gigatonnes (1 gigatonne = 1 000 000 000 000 kilograms) of carbon. The researchers showed that drought decreases and increases soil carbon more predictably than warming. Data was provided from CEH’s climate change manipulation experiment, which has been running for 18 years in Cloceanog forest, a wet Welsh upland site with a peat layer resulting from seasonal waterlogging. At the field site, increasing temperature and drought were imposed on the vegetation to study the effects of climate change on various ecosystem processes. Dr Sabine Reinsch, the lead author on the paper and a Soil Ecologist at the Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, said, “This cross European study enabled us, for the first, time to investigate plant and soil responses to climate change beyond single sites.

“Putting ecosystem responses to climate change into the wider context of natural climate gradients helps us to understand the observed responses of plants and soils better.” Professor Claus Beier, the Head of Department of Geosciences and Natural Resource Management in Denmark and co-author on the paper, said, “The study highlights and illustrates new and fundamental understanding related to the response of ecosystems to climate change. “By conducting the same experiment at different moisture and temperature conditions across the European continent, it has become clear and visible how the pressure from climate change factors may act differently, and sometimes even opposite, across these conditions. “These differences are important for our overall assessment of future ecosystem responses to climate change, but the study also shows that they can be understood and to some extent predicted.” Dr Marc Estiarte, researcher at Spanish research centre CREAF-CSIC and co-author on the paper, said, “In contrast to the soils, reducing precipitation was not a threat to plant productivity in wetter sites, and in the drier sites plants resisted proportionally more than in intermediate sites, whose aboveground productivity was shown more sensitive. This illustrates the clear difference in sensitivity of the soils compared to the plants across the climate gradient.”

Professor Bridget Emmett, Soil Science Area lead and head of site at the Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, Bangor, said, “These results emphasise how sensitive soil processes such as soil respiration are to environmental change. “This sensitivity in wetter systems, combined with a decoupling from plant productivity, represents an important potential positive feedback to the atmosphere which could lead to an increase of atmospheric CO2 levels.” The new paper in Scientific Reports considers plant and soil responses to drought and warming only across European shrublands. There are several other biomes in the world where plant and soil responses to climate change could be different. Understanding the responses of plants and soils in other biomes will provide a better understanding of climate change and the effects on global plant and soil interactions and the feedbacks to climate.